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What is the current cap rate outlook for multifamily properties in the Southeast market?

2:34 PM
R

Based on the data in your portfolio and current market analysis:

Southeast multifamily cap rates are currently averaging 5.8-6.2%, approximately 40-60 bps above the national average of 5.4%.

Key Drivers

  • ●Sun Belt migration -- strong population inflows into Atlanta, Charlotte, Nashville
  • ●Supply moderation -- new deliveries tapering, rent growth settling at 2.5-3.0% annually
  • ●Capital rotation -- institutional investors shifting from gateway to secondary markets

Portfolio Impact

For your Meridian Tower deal, the 5.2% going-in cap rate sits at the lower end, suggesting either a premium location or potential compression risk.

Recommendation: Stress-test at a 6.0% exit cap rather than 5.5% to account for potential rate normalization over the hold period.

Portfolio Analytics NCREIF Multifamily Index Q2 2026 Meridian Tower Pro Forma
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